Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-06 0.010444 0.012641 0.015402 0.019213 0.024482 0.031749 0.043000
2024-10-13 0.007435 0.009728 0.012968 0.018127 0.026676 0.041500 0.072836
2024-10-20 0.006069 0.008343 0.011813 0.017920 0.029532 0.053977 0.124470
2024-10-27 0.005438 0.007801 0.011664 0.019129 0.035420 0.077974 0.264086
2024-11-03 0.005021 0.007474 0.011732 0.020705 0.043153 0.117693 0.711653
2024-11-10 0.004697 0.007220 0.011840 0.022388 0.052618 0.184268 3.066878
2024-11-17 0.004262 0.006690 0.011296 0.022404 0.057534 0.248712 19.218038
2024-11-24 0.003873 0.006179 0.010677 0.022018 0.061008 0.322957 4782.861403
2024-12-01 0.003448 0.005545 0.009693 0.020387 0.058793 0.349585 NaN
2024-12-08 0.003136 0.005089 0.009015 0.019401 0.058680 0.404725 NaN
2024-12-15 0.002933 0.004820 0.008695 0.019327 0.062642 0.548161 NaN
2024-12-22 0.002797 0.004664 0.008597 0.019870 0.070307 0.873053 NaN
2024-12-29 0.002617 0.004424 0.008326 0.020005 0.077560 1.498144 NaN
2025-01-05 0.002385 0.004060 0.007719 0.018904 0.076811 1.940221 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002230 0.003834 0.007405 0.018688 0.081948 3.490205 NaN
2025-01-19 0.002163 0.003783 0.007507 0.019971 0.100988 19.368649 NaN
2025-01-26 0.002113 0.003763 0.007682 0.021646 0.129549 NaN NaN
2025-02-02 0.002066 0.003743 0.007853 0.023439 0.168815 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.001964 0.003588 0.007631 0.023456 0.187031 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.001859 0.003417 0.007338 0.023044 0.198586 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.001725 0.003169 0.006800 0.021307 0.182158 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001622 0.002985 0.006423 0.020260 0.177491 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.001554 0.002877 0.006256 0.020181 0.192652 NaN NaN